National Bureau of Trade and External Economic Statistics Division provided a report that in 2010, with the global economymodest recovery, China's exports since the end of 2009 will continue the momentum of the good; while China's economy to rebound well, the increase in domestic demand and rising staple prices will rise further boost imports accelerated, combined with Chinese enterprises" going out" to speed up the pace, taking into account the low 2009 base factors, China's imports and exports in 2010 will be turned back to the growth of import and export volume will be close to 2008 levels, the growth rate at 10%, and will continue to maintain a larger trade surplus.

report alsothat power shall be noted that lack of world economic recovery, trade protectionism increased, high international commodity price shock factors, but also areas of China's foreign trade policy space narrowing, these factors will all trade pressure brought rapid recovery.

-lack of world economic recovery momentum, the international demand to restore the short term is difficult to clear.While some developed countries, economic recovery, but the foundation is not strong, underpowered, the global economic recovery will be a slow and tortuous process, external demand is shrinking and the future impact of current period growth in the largest Chinese foreign trade difficulties.Major economies, high unemployment, the United States in October 2009 the unemployment rate had risen to 10.2%, the highest the highest level in 26 years, in December unemployment rate remained high at 10%, while unemployment data in January this year, better than expected, down 10%, but economists warned that the U.S. economic recovery is not yet solid, the unemployment rate will remain high in the short term.Obama recently released budget also believes that the end of this year will be 9.8% U.S. unemployment rate.Japan's August 2009 unemployment rate of 5.5%, at 10 year high in January this year, the unemployment rate is the first time since March last year, dropped to below 5%, 4.9%.January 16-nation euro zone the third consecutive month the unemployment rate remained at 9.9%.In addition, the financial crisis led to a drastic shrinkage of household wealth, the United States household savings rate continues to rise, restricting residents to expand consumption.The traditional industry overcapacity, and investment in emerging industries have yet to scale the impact of lack of investment demand growth momentum independently.International market demand, a significant rebound in the short term is very difficult.

-trade friction will be further intensified.From January to November 2009 alone, initiated by U.S. anti-dumping, countervailing and safeguard investigations in 23 cases, 6 from the 337 survey.China's annual exports of these cases involved the amount of 7.585 billion U.S. dollars, the number of cases and amount of growth than the same period in 2008, 53% and 800%, respectively, with China accounting for global trade remedy investigations and of the total number of 25% and 65%.Ministry of Commerce" 2010 China Foreign Trade Situation Outlook" that the major economies in 2010 will give priority to solving China's employment, industrial development and other issues that may continue to offer a variety of trade restrictions and protective measures, while emerging economies are likely to continue throughcurrency devaluation and other measures to promote exports, trade protectionism is rising.

-the international market more competitive.The international financial crisis, developed countries proposed to revitalize the manufacturing sector, a number of countries also expressed through the expansion of exports to ease China trade deficit.Overall competitiveness of exports in many developing countries to rise further in 2010, may continue to compete by means of the current devaluation of the international market.This will enable China to face in the field of high-end products in direct competition with developed countries, in the traditional areas of superior products to face more challenges in developing countries.

-high and volatile international commodity prices.IMF said commodity prices in 2009 reached the highest increase in 40 years.The import and export operations to increase business risk, on the other hand pushing up the cost of imports and exports of enterprises, further reduce corporate profits, weaken the capacity for sustained development.2010, commodity prices will continue to be the main tone, vibration characteristics will be very obvious.

researchersalso made in the report to promote the steady growth in 2010 China Import and Export policy recommendations.

Oneto maintain the stability of import and export control policy.Since 2009, introduced a series of stable external demand, export promotion policies have received significant effect, the export tax rebate, the exchange rate, trade finance and export credit guarantees and other measures to achieve recovery of growth in foreign trade has played an active role.Policy in 2010 should continue to maintain the intensity and rhythm, in the macro-control on a more focused and flexible.

secondand increase efforts to deal with trade friction.Government and industry associations should organize the enterprises to actively respond and attach importance to the use of international rules, maintenance of industrial safety; strengthen industry safety issues; the formation of industry, trade, fiscal, monetary and foreign policy coordination mechanisms and legal instruments, the existing relieftools and policy instruments join forces, from the source to reduce trade friction.

Thirdefforts to develop emerging markets.Actively implement the" going out" strategy, pay close attention to development planning and supporting policies to encourage China has a competitive advantage, larger enterprises to offshore production capacity, especially in emerging market countries, the mainland, develop processing trade, cooperation in developing resources, the development of cross-bordermanagement, establishing an overseas sales network, production systems and financing, promote Chinese enterprises to expand exports.

Fourthefforts to change the development mode of foreign trade, improve the processing trade policy.Guide the processing trade enterprises to fully play to labor, technology, knowledge of the comprehensive advantages, to ensure sustainable development of processing trade.Actively promote the implementation of energy saving and emission reduction, a reasonable guide the processing trade industry in the region between the gradient transfer.Continue to improve the deep processing carry-over policy, focus on the upstream and downstream logistics components manufacturing industry, extending the processing trade industry value chain.

This articlesource:China Trade Information (http://en.zgxu.com),In this paper.